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The
Shark, the Sheep and Dinosaur
By
Allan Moon
Reprinted from the
June 1980 edition (issue #9) of the News-Flite
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In the
News-Flite number 7 there was an article containing "Old Cars
1979 Price Guide, Chrysler Price Guide (Chrysler 300s)". There
was also a request for feedback. The following is our feedback. These
are our personal thoughts and gut instincts on our experience with
300s over the years and do not necessarily reflect the viewpoints of
others.
With all
due respect for the fact that the thing is just what it says, a
guide, we thought perhaps a few words on the basics of 300ing would
help qualify the figures used. The key to this whole article goes
back to the old adage, "Buyer Beware". Incidentally,
through talking with other folks in other car clubs , it seems that
much of what we are writing could very well apply to other groups or
people and marques.
Now to the
point. It seems there are three basic types of enthusiasts. They
could be called the Shark, the Sheep, and the Dinosaur. The Shark is
a fast moving breed that is extremely enthusiastic about 300s in
terms of such things as intrinsic rates of return, capital gains,
accelerated depreciation schedules, rate of return against money
market, various and sundry write offs, etc. The Dinosaur, on the
other hand, is quite simply enthusiastic about the car itself. The
Sheep is to one degree or another a crossbreed of the other two. This
groups often comprises the majority of a membership. (Recall that
Sheep get fleeced.)
In the
case of those enthusiastic about the car, the Dinosaurs, these people
would more sell their
300 than they would sell the family dog or youngest daughter. Their
300s are extensions of themselves, family if you will. The 300s
belonging to Dinosaurs have no dollar value. Such obscene thoughts as
affixing a viable sale price to their "baby" has never
seriously entered their minds. (Sharks often regard this custodial
attitude as peasant-like and bordering on being just plain
un-American.) The Dinosaur has learned that haste makes waste and
very carefully goes about his business of collecting a nest of 300s
and all the sticks and stones necessary to keep these 300s in good
working order. The Dinosaur pays little attention to the Shark. The
Shark doesn't really affect him. The Dinosaur has seen by way of
other Dinosaurs or on his own that the agile Shark could so him
little good, and most any kind gesture by Sharks are viewed as a
Greek bearing gifts. True, the Dinosaur is a slow moving ponderous
beast, but nevertheless he can usually secure what he needs, in the
condition required and at a hobbyists' price. So as you can see,
Dinosaurs are not extinct, their numbers are just diminished.
Sheep, on
the other hand, are quite numerous. The flock is comprised mainly of
newer folks and those who have never had the time or perhaps the
inclination to really get right down to the nuts and bolts of total
300ing. The Dinosaur will associate with certain portions of the
flock. So will the Shark, although each has entirely different
motives. There are lots of good guys and girls within the Sheep group
and if given the chance, most have the potential of becoming dyed in
the wool (sorry about that) 300 wacko's. Sheep need time to develop,
but schools of Sharks are there to feed before this can happen. There
are unfortunately quite a few instances where Sharks have had real
feasts and accordingly the ranks of the flock lessen. This in turn
often causes harsh words and a general dissension within the entire
ranks of the membership. The largest segment of enthusiast is most
important to the organization because within its ranks will come the
future leaders. It really hurts the Dinosaur to see a Sheep being
sheared. Perhaps a friendly word of warning would have prevented so
many potential problems. Maybe one day someone will take the time to
give such a warning and hope the word is printed and heeded.
Now to the
Shark. He is champion of the price guides, and why not, he created
the figures in them, didn't he? This group detests low prices (unless
of course, they are buying) and artificially "jacks" values
in price guides through false advertising and a variety of other
marketing techniques. The wilder the market, the more blood and the
more Sharks. Initially, when interest in a marque is low, there are
no Sharks, only later do they first appear. When a marque is featured
in a national magazine, this automatically attracts Sharks.
All of
this maneuvering is of course based on business ethics. One way of
inflating a marque's value is by advertising high unit prices in
national publications. We call this false advertising. Keep in mind
that the advertised asking price is seldom the selling price, and
quite often the actual sale price is roughly 50% or less of the
asking price. Yet many will accept such values as the "going
price". Sheep unknowingly follow suit here. Haw many times have
you heard this, "if Joe Blow's car is worth this much, then mine
must be worth _____!" After all, it is right out of _____
magazine and they are the experts! And look at these auction results!
Shark activity often centers around auction results. Ever notice how
the same car keeps popping up at various auctions or as ads with the
price referenced to the supposed auction prices or price at last
offering? Who is fooling who?
The pity
is that here Sheep get fleeced. As the supposed value of 300s appear
to rise, Sheep are drawn into the trap and in most cases unknowingly
contribute to the slaughter of their own kind, thus for the benefit
of the Shark, more and more Sheep are caught up in the cycle. Here is
a hypothetical example:
A 300 that
upon concerted effort by Sheep and Dinosaurs over a period of time,
could have been bought for $200 - $500, is purchased instead for
$1,500 (very cheap according to the price guide). After expenses are
figured in, the proud owner has $1,700 in the car. Now he fixes it up
under a budget for another $500 - $1,000. It looks good to him, but
when compared to the meticulous backyard restoration or professional
jobs, the car does not come up to par. What to do? 1) If he goes all
the way with restoration, he will never be able to afford it, or get
his money out of it. 2) Drive it like it is and take his lumps. 3) Or
sell it and try for a better deal next time. In the attempt at
selling his problems while making a little profit to be immediately
sunk on his next 300 and recovering his labor at whatever value, he
puts the car on the market this time for about what the price guide
says its worth, $2,500 - $3,500. The Dinosaurs will not consider
buying it because more than likely, they knew the car was overpriced
and trouble before it was purchased in the first time. The Sharks
won't touch it on a bet because at anywhere near the asking price
(their trumped up price guide values), it would be a bad investment,
besides if the "turkey" is stuck with it, he will sooner or
later have to sell it at a loss anyway. In short, the only chance of
a reasonably quick sale is within the group of Sheep. If the car is
sold at say $3,000, there is little chance at resale at anything
other than a loss. Somebody nearly always get stuck in this spiraling
circumstance. The one who gets the shaft is the one who has to live
with asking prices vs. selling prices. Ask this person what he thinks
of price guides, if you can still find him. More than likely, he's
home soaking his head and will not be seen at meets again. Even if he
does come to meets again, he has a new attitude and this attitude is
becoming more and more prevalent. This kind of viewpoint does not
contribute anything good to the cause of 300ing, either I'll get them
this time, or I wouldn't tell anybody anything I know about the 300
in that barn, even it is rots there.
We need
not bore you with obvious detailed explanations of how Sharks use
price guides to their personal or corporate advantage...the sting has
been around for a long time.
To make a
long story short, BUYER BEWARE! Spend a little time talking with 300
crazies. Spend a lot of time if necessary, but he thorough. Good
deals still exist (no matter what price guides or Sharks say) and
there are a whole bunch of good people around, willing to help.
What is
the net results of this whole aspect of the old car hobby?
1)
Dinosaurs keep plodding along.
2) Sharks
still swim in the old car market, though as of late, we hear some are
now sporting gold teeth. Better check the so-called Sheep and
Dinosaurs for teeth too. Sharks are a sneaky bunch.
3) Sheep
are often left holding the old car bag, or are off collecting stamps
instead.
Moral:
BUYER BEWARE! IGNORE PRICE GUIDES! TAKE LOTS OF TIME! LOOK UP A
FRIENDLY DINOSAUR!
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